News – Osprey Money Management LLC

Osprey Maney Managment Newsletter October, 2024

We hope this newsletter finds everyone safe and comfortable after this awful hurricane season in the Southeast. Our offices experienced outages, and the parking lot was a complete mess, but we were very lucky in our neck of the woods. We were glad we had just put a new roof on our old building.

Today’s article is regarding how an election might affect your portfolios. Let us know if you have any questions.

To your Prosperity!

Aaron Wade, Kasey Claytor, Dawn Lopez & Kelsey Bartholomew

How Much Do Elections Affect the Stock Market?

With the election just weeks away, you’ve probably seen some pretty dramatic predictions about what will happen to the economy if one side or the other wins.
While the outcome of this particular election is hard to predict (not just nationally but also for state and local offices), economists have identified some market behavior that’s sure to occur.
Just the fact that we’re having an election tends to increase uncertainty. Investors don’t like uncertainty. And so it tends to make them react more strongly to market information.
“In the absence of a clear consensus about the (election) outcome,” writes economist Clive Walker, “we see larger daily price changes that seem to offset each other.”¹
In other words, we might see bigger swings both up and down, but in the long run, stock prices will likely remain largely unchanged.
Businesses also don’t like uncertainty. One study found that U.S. firms tend to reduce investment expenditures during election years, which can depress the market. On the other hand, older research suggests that politicians often attempt to boost the economy before elections.
So again, a significant long-term effect seems unlikely to occur, much less persist for any meaningful time period.
Uncertainty can continue after the election as everyone waits to see what new policies the winners will enact. These changes are most likely to affect industries that are sensitive to government spending, including sectors like healthcare, defense, and finance. Additionally, new tax policies will also have some effect.
While politicians may promise a chicken in every pot and a new car in every garage, the economy is just too complex, and economic cycles are simply too long to guarantee immediate prosperity. However, economic promises resonate strongly with voters, so politicians are not going to stop making them.
Knowing this, the prudent investor won’t be overly optimistic or overly worried about how the election will affect his or her portfolio. They will expect to see increased volatility, especially when the national race is so closely contested. They will expect the market to overreact in the short term while investors wait for the dust to settle.
Elections are important. As free citizens, we have both the privilege and responsibility to vote. So, we encourage you to get out your voter’s guide and make your best-informed decision about who should be in charge of our local, state, and national governments.

Sources:1. http://go.pardot.com/e/91522/ctions-affect-the-stock-market/95p293/2481654251/h/S_rYvpDvTgMO47sOFIYrbtW1oJmFqALaz5WkCeWhXlM
Disclosure:The views expressed herein are exclusively those of Efficient Advisors, LLC (‘EA’), and are not meant as investment advice and are subject to change. All charts and graphs are presented for informational and analytical purposes only. No chart or graph is intended to be used as a guide to investing. EA portfolios may contain specific securities that have been mentioned herein. EA makes no claim as to the suitability of these securities. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, however, we do not represent that this information is complete or accurate and it should not be relied upon as such. All opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. This information is prepared for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. You should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. You should note that security values may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Investing in any security involves certain systematic risks including, but not limited to, market risk, interest-rate risk, inflation risk, and event risk. These risks are in addition to any unsystematic risks associated with particular investment styles or strategies.

Happy Holidays 2021-2022!

Merry Christmas andHappy New Year!
We are wishing you the best health, happiness and prosperity going into 2022. In this issue is a great article for planning next year, and a good idea for a gift to give parents or grandparents; Kasey’s Will for leaving a legacy of stories and life lessons.

Our office schedule for the end of the year:

Closed Friday Dec. 24^th to Friday December 31st for ChristmasReopening Monday January 3rd, 2022
We will be checking our mail and messages

To your Prosperity,
Kasey Claytor, Aaron Wade and Dawn Lopez

Here comes 2022: Will history repeat itself?
Whether we’re ready for it or not, 2022 will be here in a few days. Another year will have passed. You’ll look at your schedule, your finances, maybe even at the bathroom scale and wonder if this time next year you’ll be any closer to achieving the changes in your life you’d really like to make.Setting aside his politics for a moment, Karl Marx once wrote an interesting observation, “History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.”¹ He was of course speaking of national events affecting millions of people. But the principle holds true in our personal lives as well. Our actions may cause us an unexpected setback. But then the next time we’re faced with a similar circumstance, we can’t seem to resist taking the same action again—even though we are fully aware of its detrimental outcome.Sales of expensive exercise equipment, scheduling planners, and weight loss apps soar in the first few weeks of January each year. People switch from indulging themselves to buying devices and memberships they hope will change how their conduct their lives.Unfortunately, these hoped-for transformations rarely take hold. Research has shown that willpower alone is not enduring enough to cause significant life change.² It eventually gives out and the person goes back to their habit.The good news is that change is possible and the New Year is an excellent time to work for self improvement.Business coach Ashira Prossack has helped her clients find success by inserting a step before they make new resolutions, and that’s to spend time reflecting back on the year that is ending. The hustle of the holidays don’t make this easy.”With the end of the year fast approaching,” she writes, “it’s easy to feel overwhelmed. The holidays are often the busiest time of year, and there’s the added pressure of trying to finish up everything (at work) before December 31st.”³Prossack says you have to purposely set aside time to think back. But, she adds, at the end of the year you’re primed and ready to be in reflection mode.The next step, she advises, is to write out your goals for your personal life and career. Don’t worry yet about how you’ll accomplish them. Just get them down on paper. And be as detailed as possible.Finally, she says, write up your “game plan.” Identify the things you will need to do to accomplish your goals. And then list the specific steps you will need to take. The important thing is to write it all out. This will force you to think clearly about what it will take for you to accomplish your goal. If you break them down into small, easily doable tasks, you’ll be much better prepared to hit the ground running next year.And as far as financial goals, we would love to talk with you about what you’d like to accomplish over the next 12 months and how we can help you get there.Have a happy New Year and we will see you in 2022.

Sources:1. http://go.pardot.com/e/91522/quotes-karl-marx-382655/74zy66/1369296997?h=IVKKPIlyw5bi5djFDCIJmCOSLhSf3xorZg4Op_YEltg2. http://go.pardot.com/e/91522/-willpower-isnt-always-enough-/74zy68/1369296997?h=IVKKPIlyw5bi5djFDCIJmCOSLhSf3xorZg4Op_YEltg3. http://go.pardot.com/e/91522/usiness-success-new-year-2019-/74zy6b/1369296997?h=IVKKPIlyw5bi5djFDCIJmCOSLhSf3xorZg4Op_YEltgDisclosure:The views expressed herein are exclusively those of Efficient Advisors, LLC (‘EA’), and are not meant as investment advice and are subject to change. All charts and graphs are presented for informational and analytical purposes only. No chart or graph is intended to be used as a guide to investing. EA portfolios may contain specific securities that have been mentioned herein. EA makes no claim as to the suitability of these securities. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, however, we do not represent that this information is complete or accurate and it should not be relied upon as such. All opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. This information is prepared for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. You should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. You should note that security values may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Investing in any security involves certain systematic risks including, but not limited to, market risk, interest-rate risk, inflation risk, and event risk. These risks are in addition to any unsystematic risks associated with particular investment styles or strategies.

A great Christmas gift for parents and grandparents!
A workbook to state the legacy of one’s beliefs, ethics, values and history to pass down.
As a financial planner and advisor, I’ve assisted people with their estate planning for well over 30 years; how to prepare our possessions and financial assets to pass easily to our loved ones and charities, but what about our intangibles? Our knowledge? What is in our hearts?
Within this workbook are questions to trigger or inspire you on various topics such as impactful life lessons, humorous family stories, good advice from your parents, and things you wish you had been taught!
This is your love letter to those who live on after you and even those who aren’t born yet.
On sale now on Amazon. Just click on the image below.Kasey Claytor

August Newsletter

These are heavy times we are going through! We hope all is well with you and your family. The markets are trudging forward regardless of the news, and that is in part because the markets are forward looking and betting things will improve.
We have been busy these last few months handling all of our client’s needs as well as several new clients coming in. It is heartening to have new clients who understand our prudent strategy of investing.
Some news~ Kasey has been working on a pet project that you just might be interested in! She’s writing a workbook that is a guide to making your own spiritual or ethical will. It’s a fascinating topic.
As a financial planner and advisor, Kasey has assisted people with their estate planning for well over 30 years. Explaining how our possessions and financial assets can pass easily to our loved ones and charities, but what about our intangibles? Our knowledge? What is in our hearts? When she learned of this, she found it so intriguing she decided not only would she put down her own most cherished beliefs and insights, but would also make this available to everyone by creating a workbook; a gentle guide to go through the process of creating one’s own spiritual legacy.
The act of writing it benefits the author—you—too. The writing of an ethical will can bind you more to your heritage, understanding more of your own cultural history, and define your ethical and spiritual values. Thus, you create an intangible, but very meaningful, legacy. Through the project you may begin to understand how your life made a difference, and can continue to do so through your efforts in the Ethical or Spiritual Will workbook, (name it what you want).
We will keep you posted on when it will be available, hopefully by October. If you are interested in being in our Beta test group for the first draft of this workbook, let us know. You can hit reply to this email.

Happy Holidays & Hours

It has been a tough year for most of us, and for some it’s been almost unbearable. We feel for everyone who has suffered this year, those near and far.

Now we are on the verge of a new year, and perhaps a good start over. We’ve sure had plenty to complain about.

In 2021 let’s turn that around. Let’s shift toward noticing what around us is good; things and experiences to be grateful for; who is in our lives, the comforts we have, the fresh air we breathe, the smiles, the market and economic recovery, and hope. We all have reasons to feel gratitude. We can’t feel gratitude while complaining!

Let’s bring to the forefront the virtues we hold to be important, such as integrity, compassion, courage, generosity, patience, modesty, and honesty.

And most importantly, the love we have between all of us, the most powerful thing we have that nothing can destroy.

We wish you a peaceful and meaningful holiday season.

We will be closed from December 24th to January 4th, 2021 for the Holidays.

Thank you for being part of our family, have a safe and healthy holiday and please take care.

To your Prosperity,

Kasey Claytor and Aaron Wade
Investment Advisor Representatives
photo by Element5 Digital on Unsplash See LessEdit1 ShareLikeCommentShare

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Osprey Money Management’s response to COVID-19

We know everyone is aware of the increase in cases of the virus in Florida. The reasons for this are varied i.e. more testing, more social functions and businesses opening, hot weather pushing people indoors together, etc.

We had just begun allowing clients in the office, downstairs in the conference room, with masks on all. We will be pulling back on this with an abundance of caution unless there’s an urgent reason. If this is the case, the room will be disinfected before and after use.

We can usually do everything we need either by phone, email or regular mail. If you need to sign paperwork for instance, we can mail it, or even bring it out to your car.

We do have other renters downstairs who are in and out of the building, and we don’t want you to be unnecessarily exposed.
Even if you feel the risk is small, it doesn’t hurt to be careful, and there is really no downside.

Please call if you need anything, and Be Well.

New RMD Rules and More

Here is some good news for those who are over 70 1/2 taking RMDs.

Due to recent legislation that has passed, Required Minimum Distributions for IRA accounts have been suspended for 2020. Normally, if you are over 70 1/2 you are required to withdraw a certain minimum amount each year.

If you would like to suspend your withdrawals this year just give us a call.
Also, if you are turning 70 1/2 this year or later, you will not be required to withdraw mandatory amounts until 72 years of age.

Also most people are waiting for their stimulus checks. If you aren’t required to file a tax return, will you still get one? Yes. Non-filers follow this link to the IRS website and fill out the form to receive your stimulus deposit right into your checking account.

Lastly, I was going through a file folder, cleaning out a drawer, (Oh, the projects we find during our quarantine) and came across a newsletter I wrote after 9-11 in 2001. And it is still so relevant today, I thought you might find it interesting. It is posted below this newsletter.

Stay Home, Stay Safe and Be Well

To Your Prosperity and Wellbeing,

Kasey Claytor

Aaron Wade

Investment Advisor Representatives

Osprey Money Management LLC

What to do Now?

Life throws us small and large challenges. That is true whatever your background is, wherever you live, or who you are born to. One of the main tests in life is how you react to it.

All this recent news has me wishing I could just sell my children’s book and live in that world. But that wouldn’t be fair to all of our dear and valued clients who expect to hear from us during bad times as well as good times. As you should.

So, the stock market is appearing to fall into the basement. Where is the bottom? When will it stop? Will we lose our assets? And when will this virus recede? What will happen before it does?

No one knows the answers to these questions. The biggest clue to the future we have is found by looking at what went before.We have been here many times! Since I began my career in this financial industry in 1983, I’ve seen this type of situation many times: epidemics, pandemics, bear markets, and market corrections. And this is true: they are temporary. The markets recover. The viruses go away.

What is different is the modes of communication. The wide spread use of social media, the insidious use of news media continuously ramping up the use of alarming terminology when reporting information. In the 60s breaking news was used for an assassination or a huge global event. Now breaking news is every five minutes. The stress is high. The benefit is to the advertisers who know you’ll feel the need to continue to watch to prepare for some horrific future.

The short-term moves in the stock markets, (those less than 1 year, or even 3 years) are based more on emotions: fear, greed and hope, or guesses, than reality. Traders are constantly guessing what is around the corner. Most often they are just shooting in the dark.

We have always cautioned to ignore these short-term expressions in the markets. When we look year over year, we see a calmer vista, a long expansion of growth. I’m including a chart that illustrates how the stock markets fall within every year, sometimes a small amount, sometimes pretty deeply, but over the years the declines are filled in, made up, risen out of.

I will tell you a little story. We stockbrokers all sat at our desks one Monday in October in 1987 completely stunned, paralyzed, because the markets were in what appeared to be a free fall like we’d never, ever seen. It was the largest percentage one day drop in history (-22.6%). That week we were dazed and afraid. But I did know the worst thing I thought I could do was to sell into this horrible market. Brokers, money managers, financial advisors, whatever you label those in this industry, do have emotions too.

One of my coworkers panicked. He sold and went to cash that week in his own 401k. We had about the same amount in our 401ks, we had been hired the same year 4 years earlier. The markets rose again, of course, and sometime during the recovery, he went back into the market. But he had lost so much, and being out of the market when it was going back up he never was able to make up for the losses he took selling at that time.

What a lesson for me as a young, green broker. I never forgot it. And I don’t want you to either.So hunker down, stay healthy and take care.
Kasey

I do hope you can read the attached graph. It shows each years close in orange and the lowest points during the year with a purple diamond. Big drops are common, but always big news in the media. To Your Prosperity and Wellbeing,

Kasey Claytor
Aaron Wade
Investment Advisor Representatives
Osprey Money Management LLC

Planning Retirement isn’t just a Financial Plan, The Five Accomplishments You Need

Having walked my clients through planning, approaching, and living in retirement financially for the last almost 40 years, I couldn’t help but pick up on other aspects facing us besides the money part, such as grappling with when to retire, what to do in retirement, and how to plan a full and thriving last third of life? As I heard someone say; what are you going to do between now and dead?

As we near our ‘golden years’, we observe our elders living in a great variety of ways, from scrapping by on social security, to cruising or flying around the world, and travelling between multiple homes. There is an undeniable correlation between financial health and satisfaction in the later years, but this doesn’t mean you need to be stinking rich.

A successful retirement appears to have several moving parts: financial, health and wellbeing, relationships, passions and purpose; and let’s face it, nearing death also brings in one’s beliefs and how they experience their own spiritual life. So how do we prepare ourselves for this last and significant period of our lives?

First, not planning for it or setting goals, not contemplating how you will live in retirement, can cause unnecessary suffering later on. With no plan, with no savings, with no interests outside of work, some retirees may end up spinning in their own exhaust, no where to go and nothing to do. This can be disastrous on the human spirit. Depression and other mental health problems can take hold, leading to unhappiness and even physical ailments. But let’s not dwell on this, because the fact that you are reading this means you are proactive, interested, and willing to learn. Yay you!

This topic could easily be a 400-page book, but I’m just going to give you the briefest of outlines here.

1) Financially

Never too early or too late to begin saving. Have your paycheck debited for your employer plan, or, have your checking account systematically debited to go into an IRA, as much as you can afford, and then a little more.
Invest in a broad, diversified portfolio with stocks and bonds, low fees and good, comprehensive management.
Beware if you have the tendency, like some parents of adult children, to financially help them to such an extent you harm your own comfortable retirement. I remember a client who borrowed against his home, and withdrew from his IRAs, to help a daughter who said she couldn’t find a job. He did this until he and his wife had to give up their plans on traveling with their friends in retirement. He died leaving nothing for his wife, and only after his death did his daughter go to work to support herself.
We used to say in the financial business in the 1980s, you needed at least as much in savings as your closest decade in a hundred thousand dollars. For instance, at 40 years old you should have saved $400,000, at 60, $600,000, and so on. Typical standards now in financial planning state it really takes much closer to one million to have financial freedom these days to enable no financial worries, and the ability to take care of all your needs. Yet, I have seen people retire with half that and get along just fine.
Educate yourself on how money works; how the markets work. Order our 30 page $5.00 booklet on the 7 Big Mistakes Investors Make & The 7 Habits of Successful Investors to get you started. You will find it listed on this linked page.

2) Health and Wellbeing

Of course, take good care of yourself. Eat a good, healthy diet with lots of fresh vegetables, fruits, nuts and lean proteins.
Get outside every day. Walk, bike, swim, play, explore, move. Take up yoga or Tai chi, dancing or some other social exercise. These good habits will be easy to follow into retirement. With good balance falls become much less likely among many other benefits.
Find a mindfulness practice you like such as meditation, contemplation, breathing techniques, prayer and self-reflection etc. Conditioning the mind for wellbeing is also essential.
If you do have anxiety, depression, or other emotional problems bothering you, find a good therapist. Most of these issues are resolved with the proper help. Our society still attaches an unfortunate stigma to getting assistance in this area, but it is so essential, shows emotional maturity, self-care, and can be a rewarding experience.
Develop a positive attitude toward aging and retirement. Day dream about all the activities and experiences you’ll be able to enjoy, and the friends and family to spend time with. If you don’t have a close circle of friends, join a club or a class. Get involved in something you enjoy, sports, a book club, knitting, hiking etc. and read, I can’t stress how much reading can enhance anyone’s life in so many ways. There are so many great books in the self-help genre, but even a great book of fiction is a positive experience.
Cultivate peace with your own passing. Our cultures in the West have a poor record of coming to terms with death. It’s not usually spoken about except in dramatic and negative ways; we pretend it isn’t inevitable, we try to extend the lives of our loved ones in often grotesque and extreme ways, making their last days, weeks or months, lying in a sterile facility hooked up to machines and on heavy medications. My recommendation is to have a good plan. Most states have a type of Dying with Dignity form to fill out describing what you want done and how in a terminal situation. Email us if you would like us to mail you one. Other than this, building a solid belief of your own, whether religious or faith in life and nature, can re-frame the end of life as something not to fear. There are many great books on this.

3) Relationships

Fostering good relationships takes time, effort and the ability to forgive—maybe yourself or others. We all say or do things we don’t mean at times, are hurt by others words or actions, and without processing through these productively, we can be emotionally drained, hurt or worse. Forgive yourself and others. I know it’s hard. I will never forget a ninety-six-year-old, long-time client on his deathbed telling me he had been too hard on his wife and children. He was verbally abusive. He carried this all of his life. If he had been self-reflective, brave enough to look within, and been able to forgive himself, he wouldn’t have been so full of pain at the end.
Approaching this last stage of life, we can take the opportunity to develop a positive relationship with ourselves and others that will nurture us.

4) Passions and Purpose

What do you envision doing during retirement? So many people have jobs they don’t really enjoy, and so they dream of retiring as soon as possible, looking forward to having endless free days, like permanent weekends. But they’ve spent little time thinking about what they will do in retirement. I’ve seen some retire in their 50s and become bored, aimless and searching. Some go back to work. Some actually lose interest if life. On the other hand, I’ve seen people in their 70s who have no intention of retiring anytime soon because they love what they are doing.
Studies show the more control you have over what you do at work, who you work with and so on, the more satisfied you are. I believe that is why entrepreneurs often scoff at the idea of retiring, they are already living the life of their dreams.
To discover what your perfect retirement might look like, create a vision board of activities and places you’re interested in exploring. Think about what you enjoyed as a child.
Ask, how you may serve your community?

5) Deciding When to Retire

So, I am guessing you are beginning to see its not just at what age you can fiscally retire, it is so much more than that.

One, you want to retire when you are healthy and able to enjoy your passions

Two, you’ve figured out how you are going to fulfill your needs for community, purpose, interests and activities.

Three, make sure you aren’t just continuing to work because you have no idea what else to do with your life. Maybe you aren’t totally satisfied with work, but haven’t invested the time to explore what else might interest you.

Four, what about semi-retiring? This is getting very popular for those who have this option. And if you don’t, perhaps you could retire and pick up a part-time job doing something you’ve always wanted to do, like teach art or be in a counseling position.

Five, talk with your financial advisor about the income you will need during retirement. Take in to account how much your desired lifestyle will cost, your social security, and the amount of investments it will take to produce the income.

All of these subjects require some introspection; knowing yourself well will help you plan your later years to your benefit. Settling in to the idea of being an elder in the community, offering your hard-wrought wisdom, having loving relationships, enjoying the fruits of your labor, knowing how to still play, and exploring the world with a sense of wonder, can make your retirement the best time of your life.

August 2019 Newsletter

We’ve definitively been here before; when seeing the market reports we’re alarmed by the descriptions of wild market swings. The markets hate uncertainty and they are showing it now with all this talk on trade etc.

We know that these moves are within normal parameters in the short term, and when we invest in the broader markets, such as your portfolios are, returns over time are generous. Some may say, but can’t we do better than the broader markets? Aren’t some stocks or mutual funds better to invest in right now than others? And, how do we know which ones to choose? This type of investing is using active management. Here is a quote out of an article on this topic on the Dimensional Fund Advisors website:

Dimensional recently studied the performance of actively managed mutual funds and found that even professional investors have difficulty beating the market: over the last 20 years, 77% of equity funds and 92% of fixed income funds failed to survive and outperform their benchmarks after costs.

For the entire article please click here.

Wondering why you’re hearing we may be going into a recession? Here is an excellent letter another Matson Advisor wrote explaining this complex topic in a clear, understandable way. And of course any questions or concerns please don’t hesitate to contact us. Now get out there and get some fresh air!

To Your Prosperity and Wellbeing,

Kasey Claytor and Aaron Wade
Investment Advisor Representatives
Osprey Money Management LLC

This entry was posted on Thursday, August 15th, 2019 at 7:16 pm and is filed under Articles.